- Florida Average: $3.35
- Analysts expect prices could approach $3.50 by April if volatility continues.
AAA data shows Florida fuel prices rising faster than the national average as global oil volatility continues.
Florida Gas Prices Climb Since Last Report
Gas prices across Florida have risen sharply since Extended Reach USA first reported on potential fuel volatility earlier this year.
At the time of the original article, Florida drivers were paying roughly $2.90 per gallon on average for regular gasoline. According to updated data from AAA, the current statewide average now sits around $3.35 per gallon, representing an increase of about 45 cents per gallon in just a few weeks.
That equates to roughly a 15.5% increase in Florida fuel prices over that period.
Nationally, the average price for gasoline is currently about $3.32 per gallon, meaning Florida prices have recently moved slightly above the national average after previously remaining below it.
Price Change Breakdown
| Region | Previous Avg | Current Avg | Change | % Increase |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | $2.90 | $3.35 | +$0.45 | 15.5% |
| United States | $2.94 | $3.32 | +$0.38 | 12.9% |
Source: AAA Gas Price Tracker
What Is Driving the Increase
Several factors are contributing to the recent rise in prices:
Global Oil Market Volatility
Geopolitical tensions affecting oil supply routes have pushed crude oil prices higher in global markets.
Seasonal Fuel Transition
Refineries are shifting to summer-blend gasoline, which is more expensive to produce and typically raises prices ahead of the spring travel season.
Refinery and Distribution Adjustments
Fuel supply chains often tighten during seasonal transitions, which can temporarily push retail gasoline prices upward.
What Analysts Expect Next
Energy analysts suggest gasoline prices could remain volatile over the next several weeks.
If crude oil prices remain elevated, the national average could move toward $3.40–$3.50 per gallon. However, if supply concerns ease and refinery output stabilizes, prices may level off heading into early summer.
For now, drivers should expect continued fluctuations week to week.
Projected Trajectory if Conflict Persists
April Projection
Expected national range:
$3.40 – $3.55
Expected Florida range:
$3.45 – $3.60
Reasons:
- Spring travel demand rising
- Summer gasoline production begins
- Oil markets reacting to geopolitical risk
AAA notes spring is typically when pump prices start climbing due to summer fuel blends.
May Projection (Peak Month)
May historically becomes the highest gasoline month.
Expected national range:
$3.50 – $3.75
Florida:
$3.60 – $3.85
GasBuddy forecasts May as the highest month for gasoline prices in 2026, even under normal conditions.
If conflict persists, the ceiling could be higher.
June Projection
Prices often stabilize or begin leveling off once refineries ramp up production.
Expected national range:
$3.40 – $3.65
Florida:
$3.50 – $3.70
Extended Reach USA Weekly Price Tracker
Beginning this week, Extended Reach USA will track gas prices every Friday, monitoring changes in both Florida and national averages heading into the weekend travel period.
Future reports will follow the trajectory of:
- Florida statewide average
- National average
- Week-to-week price changes
- Percentage increases or decreases
- Market factors influencing prices
The goal is to provide readers with a clear weekly snapshot of fuel costs across the region as market conditions evolve.
